{"id":13623,"date":"2020-11-05T19:45:28","date_gmt":"2020-11-05T09:45:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chillicomment.com\/?p=13623"},"modified":"2020-11-05T19:45:28","modified_gmt":"2020-11-05T09:45:28","slug":"%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7%e6%95%97%e7%ad%86%ef%bc%9a%e8%bc%b8%e6%8e%89%e7%99%bd%e4%ba%ba%e7%94%b7%e6%80%a7%e5%92%8c%e9%95%b7%e8%80%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chillicomment.com\/?p=13623","title":{"rendered":"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6700\u5927\u6557\u7b46\uff1a\u8f38\u6389\u767d\u4eba\u7537\u6027\u548c\u9577\u8005"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u3010\u65f6\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u3011\u96d6\u7136\u5c1a\u9918\u5e7e\u500b\u5dde\u4efd\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u4ecd\u672a\u78ba\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u6839\u64da\u6700\u65b0\u7968\u7ad9\u8abf\u67e5\uff08exit poll\uff09\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5230\u5728\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u5728\u4efb\u56db\u5e74\u671f\u9593\u9078\u6c11\u5982\u4f55\u8f49\u8b8a\u3002\u4e0a\u5c46\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u9435\u93fd\u5e36\uff08Rust Belt\uff09\u5169\u500b\u5dde\u4efd\u65bc\u4eca\u5c46\u90fd\u7531\u300c\u7d05\u8f49\u85cd\u300d\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u4e5f\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u4e0a\u5c46\u652f\u6301\u4ed6\u7684\u5e74\u9577\u767d\u4eba\u7537\u6027\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u7d93\u5df2\u300c\u8f49\u8eda\u300d\u4e0d\u518d\u6295\u4ed6\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u4e00\u7968\u3002\u82e5\u4ed6\u6700\u7d42\u843d\u6557\uff0c\u9019\u6216\u8a31\u662f\u6210\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4eca\u5c46\u5927\u9078\u4eba\u6578\u8f032016\u5e74\u591a\u51fa\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u7e3d\u6295\u7968\u4eba\u6578\u4f30\u8a08\u7d041.5\u5104\u4eba\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u67091.02\u5104\u4eba\u63d0\u524d\u6295\u7968\u53ca\u90f5\u5bc4\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u7e3d\u7968\u6578\u4f30\u8a08\u53ef\u8d85\u904e2016\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\u7e3d\u7968\u6578\u903e\u4e00\u6210\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u9078\u6c11\u8e34\u8e8d\u6295\u7968\u3002\u6839\u64da\u7968\u7ad9\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5176\u5be6\u4ecd\u80fd\u8d0f\u5f97\u591a\u6578\u300c\u57fa\u672c\u76e4\u300d\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4f46\u90e8\u4efd\u4e0a\u5c46\u6295\u4ed6\u7684\u4eba\u4e5f\u8f49\u800c\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u5c0d\u624b\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe Biden\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u96d6\u7136\u9078\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u300c\u85cd\u8272\u6d6a\u6f6e\u300d\u6700\u7d42\u672a\u898b\u8e64\u5f71\uff0c\u9019\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u539f\u672c\u5bc4\u671b\u7684\u6709\u8272\u4eba\u7a2e\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u4e0d\u592a\u898b\u6548\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\u8207\u4e0a\u5c46\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u6700\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u767d\u4eba\u9078\u6c11\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5c46\u5e74\u9752\u4eba\u5c0d\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5c46\u4e5f\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f18\u81f329\u6b72\u7684\u4e00\u7fa4\uff0c\u9019\u4e5f\u8a31\u548c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6295\u7968\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u6709\u95dc\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u986f\u8457\u8b8a\u5316\u662f45\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5e74\u9577\u4eba\u58eb\u50be\u5411\u4e0d\u518d\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u572845\u6b72\u81f364\u6b72\u7684\u5e74\u9f61\u5c64\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4eca\u5c46\u4f3c\u4e4e\u512a\u52e2\u4e0d\u518d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82e5\u4ee5\u6027\u5225\u4f86\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u5728\u4eca\u5c46\u548c\u4e0a\u5c46\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u986f\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u53cd\u5012\u662f\u7537\u6027\u9078\u6c11\u4e0d\u518d\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u4ee4\u5176\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u7531\u4e0a\u5c46\u9818\u5148\u5c0d\u624b\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\uff08Hillary Clinton\uff0911\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u6536\u7a84\u81f3\u53ea\u67091\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4eca\u5c46\u5927\u9078\u6700\u5177\u8aaa\u670d\u529b\u7684\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u662f\u4ed6\u80fd\u5920\u596a\u56de2016\u5e74\u9435\u93fd\u5e36\u90e8\u5206\u767d\u4eba\u5de5\u4eba\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301<\/strong>\uff0c\u4ee4\u4ed6\u6700\u7d42\u6216\u80fd\u4ee5\u4e9b\u5fae\u5dee\u8ddd\u300c\u7ffb\u76e4\u300d\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde\u548c\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u4ed6\u9084\u5728\u4e00\u5411\u300c\u6df1\u7d05\u300d\u7684\u4e9e\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u52dd\u51fa\u3002\u9019\u6216\u8a31\u5f97\u76ca\u65bc\u8a72\u5dde\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u7684\u8f49\u8b8a\u548c\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u518d\u8005\u7576\u5730\u8a31\u591a\u62c9\u4e01\u88d4\u9078\u6c11\u50be\u5411\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e3b\u8981\u6d41\u5931\u767d\u4eba\u548c\u9577\u8005\u652f\u6301<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9084\u5931\u53bb\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u767d\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u6301\u2014\u2014\u767d\u4eba\u6b63\u662f\u4ed6\u57282016\u5e74\u52dd\u51fa\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u7537\u6027\u767d\u4eba\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u4e0a\u5c46\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u9019\u500b\u677f\u584a\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u9818\u5148\u5c0d\u624b\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc31\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u4f46\u4eca\u5c46\u537b\u6536\u7a84\u81f318\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u64da\u611b\u8fea\u751f\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Edison Research\uff09\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u55ac\u6cbb\u4e9e\u5dde\u548c\u7dad\u73cd\u5c3c\u4e9e\u5dde\u6d41\u5931\u4e86\u8f03\u591a\u767d\u4eba\u548c\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e0a\u5c46\u5176\u9078\u6c11\u57fa\u790e\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7d44\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"\u7d93\u904e\u56db\u5e74\u4efb\u671f\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u539f\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u5f97\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u6709\u8272\u4eba\u7a2e\u652f\u6301\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u7d93\u904e\u56db\u5e74\u4efb\u671f\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u539f\u4f86\u722d\u53d6\u5f97\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u6709\u8272\u4eba\u7a2e\u652f\u6301\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u4e0a\u5c46\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u55ac\u6cbb\u4e9e\u5dde\u8d0f\u5f97\u516b\u6210\u767d\u4eba\u7537\u6027\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4eca\u5c46\u537b\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e03\u6210\u3002\u800c65\u6b72\u9577\u8005\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0a\u5c46\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e03\u6210\u7968\u6578\uff0c\u4f46\u4eca\u5c46\u4e5f\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u516d\u6210\u3002\u9019\u500b\u5dde\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u5728\u9ede\u7968\uff0c\u4f46\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u78ba\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u80fd\u5728\u9019\u88cf\u7ffb\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u800c\u5728\u7dad\u73cd\u5c3c\u4e9e\u5dde\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0a\u5c46\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e03\u6210\u767d\u4eba\u7537\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c92\u6709\u5927\u5b78\u5b78\u4f4d\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4eca\u5c46\u5169\u500b\u7fa4\u7d44\u7686\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3\u516d\u6210\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"\u767d\u4eba\u9078\u6c11\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u8f49\u8eda\u4e0d\u518d\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u904e\u53bb\u56db\u5e74\u722d\u8b70\u4e0d\u7d55\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\u62dc\u767b\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u4eca\u5c46\u5927\u9078\u722d\u6301\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u767d\u5bae\u751f\u6daf\u5373\u5c07\u5b8c\u7d50\uff1f(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\u4e0d\u5c11\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7121\u6cd5\u9023\u4efb\u6210\u529f\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u7684\u5fe0\u5be6\u652f\u6301\u8005\u3002(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\u8ab0\u4eba\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bae\uff0c\u8ab0\u4eba\u53c8\u6703\u662f\u4eca\u5c46\u5927\u9078\u7684Loser\uff1f(\u8def\u900f\u793e)\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"\"\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u3010\u65f6\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u3011\u96d6\u7136\u5c1a\u9918\u5e7e\u500b\u5dde\u4efd\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u4ecd\u672a\u78ba\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u6839\u64da\u6700\u65b0\u7968\u7ad9\u8abf\u67e5\uff08exit poll\uff09\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5230\u5728 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13624,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6700\u5927\u6557\u7b46\uff1a\u8f38\u6389\u767d\u4eba\u7537\u6027\u548c\u9577\u8005 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chillicomment.com\/?p=13623\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" 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