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E. Hyten\uff099\u670813\u65e5\u5728\u4e00\u5834\u667a\u5eab\u5c0d\u8a71\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u6211\u5011\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u6c38\u9060\u4e0d\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u958b\u6230\u300d\u3002\u7f8e\u667a\u5eab\u5e03\u9b6f\u91d1\u65af\u5b78\u6703\uff08Brookings Institution\uff09\u7db2\u7ad9\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u6d77\u9813\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u73fe\u4efb\u653f\u5e9c\u9818\u5c0e\u5c64\u5df2\u975e\u5e38\u6e05\u695a\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5fc5\u9808\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u300c\u6b65\u6b65\u9032\u903c\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u300d\uff08pacing threat\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u8a55\u4f30\u4e2d\u7f8e\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u767c\u67d0\u7a2e\u5f62\u5f0f\u6230\u722d\u6642\uff0c\u6d77\u9813\u8aaa\uff0c\u5927\u570b\u9593\u7684\u6230\u722d\u300c\u5c07\u6467\u6bc0\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u662f\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e0\u72ec\u6709\u5076\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a514\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u6c34\u95e8\u6848\u201d\u540d\u8bb0\u4f0d\u5fb7\u6c83\u5fb7\u7684\u65b0\u4e66\u62ab\u9732\uff0c\u57282020\u5e7410\u670830\u65e5\u5373\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u524d4\u5929\uff0c\u7f8e\u519b\u53c2\u8c0b\u957f\u8054\u7cfb\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7c73\u5229\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u9664\u603b\u7edf\u5916\u519b\u65b9\u7684\u4e00\u53f7\u4eba\u7269\uff09\u4e24\u5ea6\u79d8\u5bc6\u81f4\u7535\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u52a8\u653b\u51fb\u3002\u7c73\u5229\u56fa\u7136\u662f\u62c5\u5fc3\u7279\u6717\u666e\u72d7\u6025\u8df3\u5899\u53d1\u52a8\u6218\u4e89\u4e89\u53d6\u8fde\u4efb\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u5f53\u7a0b\u5ea6\u53cd\u6620\u7f8e\u519b\u7684\u5fc3\u6001\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u653f\u6cbb\u5982\u4f55\u538b\u5236\uff0c\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u662f\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u503c\u5f97\u6307\u51fa\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u57289\u65e5\u81f4\u7535\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u65f6\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u786e\u4fdd\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ade\u4e89\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u96be\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u53c2\u8c0b\u957f\u8054\u7cfb\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u90fd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u907f\u514d\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u751f\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u8bf4\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u591a\u4e48\u5584\u826f\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u660e\u767d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5b9e\u529b\u4eca\u975e\u6614\u6bd4\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u6218\u4e89\u90fd\u5403\u4e0d\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u522b\u8bf4\u73b0\u5728\u4e86\u3002\u5b9e\u5728\u662f\u5403\u4e0d\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u671d\u9c9c\u6218\u4e89\u9996\u4efb\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u519b\u53f8\u4ee4\uff0c\u4e8c\u6218\u540d\u5c06\u9ea6\u514b\u963f\u745f\u4e34\u7ec8\u7559\u4e86\u4e00\u53e5\u540d\u8a00\uff1a\u8c01\u60f3\u8ddf\u4e2d\u56fd\u9646\u519b\u6253\u4ed7\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u6709\u75c5\uff01\u82f1\u56fd\u5143\u5e05\u4e8c\u6218\u540d\u5c06\u8499\u54e5\u9a6c\u5229\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u53e5\u540d\u8a00\uff1a\u4e0d\u8981\u540c\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u5728\u5730\u9762\u4e0a\u4ea4\u624b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8981\u6210\u4e3a\u519b\u4e8b\u5bb6\u7684\u4e00\u6761\u7981\u5fcc\uff01<\/p>\n<p>\u65e2\u7136\u519b\u529b\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u81ea\u5df1\u90fd\u907f\u514d\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u6218\uff0c\u4e3a\u4f55\u8981\u6fb3\u6d32\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u519b\u4e8b\u5f3a\u56fd\u5462\uff1f\u7f8e\u56fd\u60f3\u6cd5\u65e0\u975e\u6709\u51e0\u70b9\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u9001\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e0a\u53cd\u534e\u6700\u524d\u7ebf\uff0c\u7528\u6fb3\u6d32\u6765\u6405\u4e71\u4e9a\u592a\u653f\u5c40\u3002\u6709\u4e91\u7cbe\u4eba\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u7b28\u4eba\u51fa\u624b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u662f\u90a3\u4e2a\u7cbe\u4eba\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c31\u662f\u90a3\u4e2a\u7b28\u4eba\u3002\u63d0\u9192\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5176\u5b9e\u4e5f\u662f\u4e9a\u592a\u6210\u5458\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u641e\u4e71\u4e9a\u592a\u65e0\u7591\u662f\u641e\u4e71\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4e9a\u592a\u5229\u76ca\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u6fb3\u6d32\u505a\u4e11\u4eba\uff0c\u635f\u5931\u7684\u662f\u6fb3\u6d32\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u76ca\u6700\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5f97\u5230\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u4e00\u4e3e\u4e8c\u5f97\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f9d\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u6e14\u7fc1\u5f97\u5229\uff0c\u4f9d\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u505a\u751f\u610f\uff0c\u7ef4\u62a4\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5229\u76ca\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u628a\u6fb3\u6d32\u7262\u7262\u7ed1\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u817f\u4e0a\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u5de8\u989d\u519b\u8d39\u6536\u5165\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7b97\u76d8\u6253\u5f97\u5341\u5206\u7cbe\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81f3\u4e8e\u6fb3\u7f8e\u7684\u4ea4\u60c5\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u978d\u524d\u9a6c\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fde\u5feb\u8fc7\u671f\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u90fd\u4e0d\u80af\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ed9\u6fb3\u6d32\uff0c\u978d\u524d\u9a6c\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u8fde\u53e3\u6c64\u90fd\u4e0d\u7ed9\uff1b\u65f6\u4e0b\u70ed\u8bba\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u89c6\u9891\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8bb0\u4e0d\u8d77\u6fb3\u6d32\u603b\u7406\u83ab\u91cc\u68ee\u7684\u540d\u5b57\u4e5f\u53ef\u89c1\u4e00\u6591\uff0c\u201c\u90a3\u54e5\u4eec\u201d\u3001\u201c\u90a3\u4f19\u8ba1\u201d\u3002\u3002\u3002\u5c31\u662f\u558a\u4e0d\u51fa\u540d\u5b57\uff0c\u978d\u524d\u9a6c\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u8fde\u540d\u5b57\u90fd\u6ca1\u8bb0\u4f4f\u3002\u3002\u3002\u604d\u5982\u8def\u4eba\u7532\u3002\u53ef\u601c\u6fb3\u6d32\u90a3\u7fa4\u597d\u6218\u5206\u5b50\u4e3a\u70ed\u8877\u628a\u6fb3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