{"id":24124,"date":"2022-04-04T07:39:32","date_gmt":"2022-04-03T21:39:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chillicomment.com\/?p=24124"},"modified":"2022-04-04T07:39:32","modified_gmt":"2022-04-03T21:39:32","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%b9%b4%e8%bc%95%e4%ba%ba%e7%8f%be%e7%8b%80%ef%bc%9a%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%ab%8b%e5%a0%b4%e8%b6%a8%e5%b7%a6%e3%80%80%e5%85%b1%e5%92%8c%e9%bb%a8%e8%87%a8%e9%81%b8%e7%a5%a8%e5%8d%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chillicomment.com\/?p=24124","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u73fe\u72c0\uff1a\u653f\u6cbb\u7acb\u5834\u8da8\u5de6\u3000\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u81e8\u9078\u7968\u5371\u6a5f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u3010\u7126\u70b9\u5206\u6790\u3011\u5f9e\u672c\u4e16\u7d00\u521d9\u00b711\u4e8b\u4ef6\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5343\u79a7\u4e00\u4ee3\u548cZ\u4e16\u4ee3\u5728\u6210\u9577\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u300c\u597d\u6230\u300d\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u3002\u5f9e\u5de6\u7ffc\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u5967\u5df4\u99ac\uff08Barack Obama\uff09\u7576\u9078\uff0c\u5230\u53f3\u7ffc\u6c11\u7cb9\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u57f7\u653f\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5169\u9ee8\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u6df7\u4e82\u5c40\u9762\u6fc0\u767c\u66f4\u591a\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u53c3\u8207\u653f\u6cbb\u8a71\u984c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u548c\u9032\u884c\u6295\u7968\u3002\u5f9e2016\u5e74\u5927\u9078\u30012018\u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\uff0c\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u7684\u6295\u7968\u7387\u6210\u70ba\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u6210\u6557\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u6240\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7e3d\u9ad4\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7acb\u5834\u66f4\u52a0\u504f\u5411\u5de6\u7ffc\u548c\u9032\u6b65\u4e3b\u7fa9\u3002\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u4e5f\u5bc4\u671b\u65bc\u5343\u79a7\u4e00\u4ee3\u548cZ\u6642\u4ee3\u9032\u5165\u4e2d\u5e74\u3001\u8001\u5e74\u5f8c\u8f49\u5411\u4fdd\u5b88\u7acb\u5834\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5f9e\u76ee\u524d\u6578\u64da\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5343\u79a7\u4e00\u4ee3\u9078\u6c11\u4e3b\u6d41\u7acb\u5834\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8f49\u5411\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002\u6839\u64da\u76ae\u5c24\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Pew Research Center\uff09\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5343\u79a7\u4e00\u4ee3\u7576\u4e2d\u300c\u591a\u6578\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u6301\u81ea\u7531\u7acb\u5834\u300d\u6216\u300c\u4e00\u76f4\u6301\u81ea\u7531\u7acb\u5834\u300d\u7684\u4eba\u6578\u6bd4\u4f8b\u75312004\u5e74\u768441%\u589e\u52a0\u5230\u4e862017\u5e74\u768457%\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5e74\u8f15\u4fdd\u5b88\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u3002\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u70ba\u4e86\u8868\u9054\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e0d\u6eff\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6295\u5411\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u3002\u4eca\u79cb\u4e2d\u671f\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u5920\u85c9\u52a9\u4fc4\u70cf\u885d\u7a81\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u548c\u7269\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u5c0d\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u9650\u5236\u7684\u4e0d\u6eff\uff0c\u5e6b\u52a9\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u8d0f\u5f97\u570b\u6703\u5e2d\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u65bc\u5de6\u7ffc\u548c\u9032\u6b65\u6d3e\u7acb\u5834<\/strong><\/h3>\n

2000\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u7684\u610f\u8b58\u5f62\u614b\u5dee\u5225\u8f03\u5c0f\u3002\u7576\u5e74\u5927\u9078\u7684\u5169\u9ee8\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u5c0f\u5e03\u6b8a\uff08George W. Bush\uff09\u548c\u6208\u723e\uff08Al Gore\uff09\u6240\u5f97\u7684\u666e\u9078\u7968\u76f8\u7576\u3002\u5169\u4eba\u572818\u6b72\u81f324\u6b72\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u6301\u5e73\uff0847%\uff09\uff0c\u572825\u6b72\u81f329\u6b72\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u4e5f\u53ea\u5dee3\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u5c0f\u5e03\u6b8a46%\uff0c\u6208\u723e49%\uff09\u3002\u5169\u4eba\u572818\u6b72\u81f329\u6b72\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u90fd\u662f50%\u3002<\/p>\n

2016\u5e74\u5927\u9078\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\uff08Hillary Clinton\uff09\u548c\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7e3d\u7d71\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u572818\u6b72\u81f324\u6b72\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u5206\u5225\u70ba56%\u548c35%\uff0c\u572825\u6b72\u81f329\u6b72\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u5206\u5225\u70ba53%\u548c39%\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7279\u6717\u666e\u85c9\u52a9\u9078\u8209\u4eba\u6a5f\u5236\u8d0f\u5f97\u5927\u9078\uff0c\u4f46\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u6240\u5f97\u666e\u9078\u7968\u8d85\u51fa\u7279\u6717\u666e200\u842c\u5f35\u3002<\/p>\n

2020\u5e74\u5927\u9078\uff0cZ\u6642\u4ee3\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u6295\u7968\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u3002\u64da\u76ae\u5c24\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7d71\u8a08\uff0c\u57282020\u5e74\u7e3d\u7d71\u9078\u8209\u548c\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u9078\u8209\u4e2d\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u5f97\u5230\u768430\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0b\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u6295\u7968\u7387\u53ea\u67093\u6210\u3002\u800c\u62dc\u767b\u5f97\u5230\u768430\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0b\u9078\u6c11\u6295\u7968\u7387\u9ad8\u905454%\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c18\u81f324\u6b72\uff08Z\u4e16\u4ee3\uff09\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c65%\u6295\u7968\u7d66\u62dc\u767b\uff0c31%\u6295\u7968\u7d66\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002\u572818\u6b72\u81f329\u6b72\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u670959%\u7684\u4eba\u628a\u7968\u6295\u7d66\u4e86\u62dc\u767b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u4f50\u6cbb\u4e9e\u5dde\u548c\u8cd3\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9e\u5dde\u7b49\u95dc\u9375\u5dde\uff0c\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u6301\u662f\u62dc\u767b\u7372\u52dd\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u6230\u7565\u5e2b\u5c07\u6b64\u8da8\u52e2\u8996\u70ba\u4e00\u7a2e\u6b63\u5728\u8feb\u8fd1\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u66f4\u652f\u6301\u6851\u5fb7\u65af\u7b49\u9032\u6b65\u6d3e\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u57282020\u5e74\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u62dc\u767b\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u62dc\u767b\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u64ca\u6557\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002<\/p>\n

18\u6b72\u81f323\u6b72\u7684Z\u4e16\u4ee3\u9078\u6c11\u81ea2018\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u53c3\u52a0\u6295\u7968\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6700\u95dc\u5fc3\u7684\u8a71\u984c\u662f\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u7a2e\u65cf\u6b67\u8996\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u516c\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5e0c\u671b\u653f\u5e9c\u80fd\u5920\u51fa\u53f0\u66f4\u591a\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u30022020\u5e74\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c42%\u7684\u4eba\u95dc\u5fc3\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c21%\u95dc\u5fc3\u7a2e\u65cf\u6b67\u8996\u554f\u984c\uff0c12%\u95dc\u6ce8\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u800c\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c41%\u512a\u5148\u95dc\u6ce8\u7d93\u6fdf\u548c\u5c31\u696d\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u624d\u662f\u75ab\u60c5\uff0821%\uff09\u548c\u58ae\u80ce\uff089%\uff09\u8b70\u984c\u3002\u57282020\u5e74\u5927\u9078\u6295\u7968\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u591a\u6578\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u652f\u6301\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u75ab\u60c5\u81f3\u5c11\u5df2\u7d93\u5f97\u5230\u90e8\u5206\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u53ea\u670912%\u8a8d\u70ba\u5c1a\u672a\u63a7\u5236\u4f4f\u75ab\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8b00\u5283\u722d\u53d6\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u652f\u6301<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u70ba\u4e86\u61c9\u5c0d\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u9078\u8209\u548c\u92ea\u8def2024\u5e74\u5927\u9078\uff0c\u722d\u53d6\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5df2\u7d93\u6210\u70ba\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08RNC\uff09\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cd\u5fc3\u3002\u5f9e2018\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\uff0cRNC\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u9ad8\u4e2d\u548c\u5927\u5b78\u767c\u8d77\u5404\u7a2e\u9805\u76ee\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5438\u5f15Z\u6642\u4ee3\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u8a72\u9ee8\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u6821\u5712\u5718\u968a\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u9805\u76ee\u300d\uff08Campus Team Leader Initiative\uff09\u3001\u5e74\u8f15\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u7d44\u7e54\u300c\u6821\u5712\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u7d44\u7e54\u300d\uff08the College Republicans organization\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u5c11\u6578\u7684\u9818\u8896\u9ea5\u5361\u932b\uff08Kevin McCarthy\uff09\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u300cYoung Guns\u300d\u9805\u76ee\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u90fd\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u52d5\u54e1\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u5c0d\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u62db\u52df\u548c\u57f9\u8a13\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\u7af6\u9078\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u827e\u5967\u74e6\u5dde\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u7c73\u5207\u723e\uff08Joe Mitchell\uff09\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u300cRun GenZ\u300d\uff0c\u62db\u52df\u548c\u57f9\u8a13\u5e74\u8f15\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u7af6\u9078\u5e95\u5c64\u516c\u8077\u3002\u8a72\u7d44\u7e54\u8a08\u5283\u57282022\u5e74\u652f\u630136\u4f4d\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u7af6\u9078\u5dde\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u8077\u4f4d\u3002\u4ed6\u8aaa\uff0c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5c40\u52e2\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5931\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u64daCNN\/SSRS\u4eca\u5e742\u670810\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6c11\u8abf\uff0c2020\u5e7445\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\uff08\u4f54\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u62dc\u767b\u9078\u6c11\u768460%\uff09\u5c0d\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73fe\u4e26\u4e0d\u6eff\u610f\uff0c\u53ea\u670933%\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u5c0d\u4ed6\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73fe\u8868\u793a\u6eff\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u6293\u4f4f\u9019\u7a2e\u9078\u6c11\u5fc3\u614b\uff0c\u722d\u53d6\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u6839\u64daCNN\u7684\u5831\u9053\uff0c\u5e74\u8f15\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u9078\u6c11\u95dc\u5fc3\u7684\u8b70\u984c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u3001\u6cb9\u50f9\u3001\u98df\u7269\u50f9\u683c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5916\u4ea4\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u300cZ\u4e16\u4ee3\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u300d\uff08Gen Z GOP\uff09\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u5275\u7acb\u8005\u300122\u6b72\u7684\u5967\u8332\uff08John Olds\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e74\u8f15\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u4ecd\u7136\u95dc\u5fc3\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u9650\u5236\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c0d\u4ed6\u5011\u5927\u5b78\u6642\u5149\u7684\u7834\u58de\u4ee5\u53ca\u7121\u6cd5\u53c3\u52a0\u7562\u696d\u5178\u79ae\u7b49\u3002\u5728\u4f50\u6cbb\u4e9e\u5dde\uff0c\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u904e\u591a\u75ab\u60c5\u9632\u63a7\u9650\u5236\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u652f\u6301\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u3002\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4e5f\u6703\u85c9\u6b64\u62c9\u650f\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u5168\u570b\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08RNC\uff09\u57283\u670820\u65e5\u7d66CNN\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u8072\u660e\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u6b63\u88ab\u62dc\u767b\u9818\u5c0e\u4e0b\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u300c\u62cb\u68c4\u300d\uff0c\u300c\u6211\u5011\u6b63\u9762\u81e8\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u98db\u901f\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5728\u5b78\u6821\u8ab2\u5802\u5931\u53bb\u7684\u5bf6\u8cb4\u6642\u9593\u5df2\u7d93\u7121\u6cd5\u633d\u56de\u3002\u800c\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u9818\u5c0e\u7684\u5dde\u5247\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u548c\u5b78\u751f\u8fd4\u56de\u5b78\u6821\u3001\u5e74\u8f15\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u91cd\u8fd4\u5de5\u4f5c\u5d17\u4f4d\u65b9\u9762\u8d77\u5230\u4e86\u5f15\u9818\u4f5c\u7528\u3002RNC\u6b63\u5728\u62db\u52df\u548c\u63a5\u89f8\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u73cd\u8996\u81ea\u7531\u3001\u6a5f\u9047\u4ee5\u53ca\u611b\u570b\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3\u4fdd\u5b88\u9078\u6c11\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7b56\u7565\u80fd\u5426\u594f\u6548\u5c1a\u5f85\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8b8a\u91cf\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u904e\u53bb5\u5e74\uff0c\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u9ee8\u5167\u7684\u6975\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u540c\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u9ee8\u722d\u7684\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c0e\u81f4\u5176\u9078\u6c11\u7fa4\u9ad4\u7684\u5206\u5316\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u9078\u6c11\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u3002\u76ae\u5c24\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc32019\u5e74\u7684\u6c11\u8abf\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5343\u79a7\u4e00\u4ee3\u548cZ\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u6bd4\u8001\u4e00\u4ee3\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u7acb\u5834\u300c\u66f4\u6e29\u548c\u300d\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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