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u4e86\u8bf8\u5982\u5173\u95ed\u9152\u5427\u3001\u8981\u6c42\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u81ea\u6211\u9694\u79bb\u3001\u5173\u95ed\u53e3\u5cb8\u7b49\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c31\u4e00\u76f4\u6709\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u6ca1\u6d41\u611f\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u8bba\u8c03\u3002\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u540c\u6837\u4f5c\u58c1\u4e0a\u89c2\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u4e0d\u61c2\u672a\u96e8\u7ef8\u7f2a\uff0c\u6709\u9ad8\u5b98\u8fd8\u5f97\u610f\u5730\u8bf4\u7c4d\u673a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f6c\u79fb\u751f\u4ea7\u7ebf\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u98ce\u51c9\u8bdd\uff0c\u8fd8\u8bf4\u4e2d\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5151\u73b0\u4e70\u8d27\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u7f54\u987e\u4e2d\u56fd\u707e\u60c5\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e1d\u6beb\u540c\u60c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u4e00\u526f\u5e78\u707e\u4e50\u7978\u7684\u6a21\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u4e00\u4e9b\u653f\u5ba2\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u82f1\u56fd\u5f0f\u7684\u201c\u7fa4\u4f53\u514d\u75ab\u201d\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u5341\u5206\u53ef\u6015\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u5e2d\u533b\u5b98\u63a8\u6d4b\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c06\u670915\u4e07\u4eba\u60a3\u75c5\uff0c\u65b0\u5dde\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u9996\u5e2d\u533b\u5b98\u66f4\u5938\u5f20\uff0c\u8bf4\u6709160\u4e07\u4eba\u60a3\u75c5\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9760\u6240\u8c13\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u7b97\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u6570\u5b57\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u5341\u5206\u79bb\u5730\u3002\u9664\u975e\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e5f\u6cbf\u7528\u6b27\u6d32\u601d\u8def\uff0c\u73a9\u201c\u7fa4\u4f53\u514d\u75ab\u201d\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u523015\u4e07\u6216160\u4e07\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u65b0\u5dde\u536b\u751f\u90e8\u9996\u5e2d\u533b\u5b98\u94b1\u7279\uff08Kerry Chant \uff093\u670812\u65e5\u6307\u51fa\u65b0\u5dde800\u4e07\u4eba\u91cc\u9762\uff0c\u8981\u670920%\u5373160\u4e07\u7684\u4eba\u611f\u67d3\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u4ee520\u65e5\u65e5876\u4f8b\u8d77\u8ba1\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u653f\u5e9c\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u4e0d\u505a\uff0c\u6216\u505a\u7684\u5f88\u5c11\uff0c\u6216\u505a\u9519\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u75c5\u4f8b\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4ece800\u591a\u4e0a\u5347\u523015\u4e07\uff08\u5168\u56fd\uff09\u6216160\u4e07\uff08\u65b0\u5dde\uff09\u3002\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u533b\u5b98\uff0c\u4e0e\u65b0\u5dde\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u533b\u5b98\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u5b57\u5dee\u522b\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u9884\u6d4b\u5168\u56fd\u670915\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u65b0\u5dde\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u653f\u5e9c\u9884\u6d4b\u5149\u662f\u65b0\u5dde\u5c31\u6709160\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u522b\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u8bf4\u9884\u6d4b\u6beb\u65e0\u79d1\u5b66\u6027\u53ef\u8a00\uff0c\u6807\u51c6\u4e71\u4e03\u516b\u7cdf\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u662f\u4fe1\u53e3\u5f00\u6cb3\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5404\u5e72\u5404\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u4e0d\u7ba115\u4e07\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f160\u4e07\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u65b0\u5dde\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u5747\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5b66\u4e60\u6b27\u6d32\u6a21\u5f0f\u6765\u5904\u7406\u8fd9\u6b21\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u5373\u6697\u73a9\u201c\u7fa4\u4f53\u514d\u75ab\u201d\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u6fb3\u6d32\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u5927\u4e0d\u5e78\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f52\u7eb3\u4e00\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u610f\u5927\u5229\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u610f\u5927\u5229\u5927\u8086\u8650\uff0c\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u6240\u5f97\u7684\u7ebf\u5f62\u56fe\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u610f\u5927\u5229\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u6709\u5982\u5012\u300cU\u300d\u5f62\u66f2\u7ebf\uff0c\u9884\u6599\u4f1a\u5728\u5347\u81f3\u9876\u5cf0\u5f8c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u4ecd\u5bf9\u533b\u7597\u536b\u751f\u7cfb\u7edf\u6784\u6210\u4e25\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u5730\u6709\u533b\u9662\u4e0d\u582a\u91cd\u8d1f\uff0c\u5e8a\u4f4d\u53ca\u533b\u7597\u7528\u54c1\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u5e76\u300c\u63a5\u8fd1\u9971\u548c\u300d\uff0c\u6709\u4e13\u5bb6\u66f4\u63d0\u8bae\u653e\u5f03\u8001\u5f31\u60a3\u8005\uff0c\u4f18\u5148\u7167\u987e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u60a3\u8005\u3002\u65e0\u5f62\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u533b\u751f\u62e5\u6709\u8c01\u751f\u8c01\u6b7b\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6743\uff0c\u5bf9\u8001\u4eba\uff0c\u5f31\u8005\u5341\u5206\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u4e1c\u65b9\u5c0a\u8001\u7231\u5e7c\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u5f88\u96be\u60f3\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6377\u514b\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5404\u56fd\u5747\u5e0c\u671b\u907f\u514d\u75ab\u60c5\u5927\u7206\u53d1\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u3001\u5bf9\u533b\u7597\u7cfb\u7edf\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u4e25\u5389\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u505c\u8bfe\u53ca\u7981\u6b62\u7fa4\u4f17\u805a\u4f1a\u7b49\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u5c01\u95014\u4e2a\u57ce\u9547\uff0c\u6377\u514b\u5c31\u4f1a\u572816\u65e5\u8d77\u300c\u9501\u56fd\u300d\u3002\u6709\u4e13\u5bb6\u53ca\u653f\u5e9c\u5c31\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8981\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u538b\u5e73\u66f2\u7ebf\u300d\uff08flatten the curve\uff09\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff1a\u900f\u8fc7\u9694\u79bb\u7b49\u63aa\u65bd\u51cf\u7f13\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee4\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7acb\u5373\u7ed9\u533b\u7597\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>\u3000\u3000<\/strong><br \/>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5e76\u65e0\u4e0e\u522b\u56fd\u4e00\u6837\u8fc5\u5373\u91c7\u53d6\u4e25\u5389\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u5f53\u5c40\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8ddd\u79bb\u75ab\u60c5\u9ad8\u5cf0\u671f\u4ecd\u670914\u5468\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u884c\u4e3a\u79d1\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u82e5\u4e25\u5389\u63aa\u65bd\u8fc7\u65e9\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u4f1a\u611f\u5230\u538c\u6076\u3002<br \/>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u5e2d\u533b\u7597\u987e\u95ee\u60e0\u8482\uff08Chris Whitty\uff09\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u592a\u65e9\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u9075\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u70ed\u60c5\u4f1a\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u9ad8\u5cf0\u65f6\u7528\u5c3d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b27\u6d32\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u540e\u679c\u600e\u6837\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u67d3\u75c5\u540e\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6cbb\u7597\u8d44\u6e90\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u533b\u751f\u5bf9\u75c5\u4eba\u6709\u751f\u6b7b\u51b3\u5b9a\u6743\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6551\u8c01\u4e0d\u6551\u8c01\uff0c\u5168\u90e8\u7531\u533b\u751f\u8bf4\u4e86\u7b97\u3002\u533b\u751f\u6709\u6743\u6cbb\u75c5\uff0c\u6ca1\u6743\u51b3\u5b9a\u4eba\u751f\u6b7b\u3002\u8fd9\u5341\u5206\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u53d1\u793e\u4f1a\u4f26\u7406\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u77db\u76fe\u6fc0\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u7269\u7ade\u5929\u62e9\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\uff0c\u662f\u9aa8\u5b50\u91cc\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\uff0c\u4eba\u6743\uff08\u751f\u547d\u6743\uff09\u6216\u4ece\u4e0d\u5728\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u8d26\u672c\u91cc\u3002\u4f60\u7684\u751f\u6b7b\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u542c\u5929\u7531\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6700\u5931\u8d25\u7684\u8303\u4f8b\u3002\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\u540d\u4e0d\u7b26\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5f7c\u5cb8\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8fde\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u653f\u5e9c\u4ea6\u4e0d\u5982\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u5f8c\u77e5\u5f8c\u89c9\u5730\u53d1\u73b0\u75ab\u60c5\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u8fde\u4efb\u5f8c\uff0c\u4fe8\u7136\u5f00\u59cb\u63a8\u5378\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c\u627e\u66ff\u7f6a\u7f8a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u524d\u8fd8\u4e00\u76f4\u5439\u6de1\u75ab\u60c5\u3001\u5927\u6d3e\u5b9a\u5fc3\u4e38\uff0c\u5ba3\u79f0\u300c\u53ea\u9700\u5f53\u6d41\u611f\u5904\u7406\u5c31\u597d\u300d\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u5728\u767d\u5bab\u692d\u5706\u5f62\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u53d1\u8868\u5168\u56fd\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9632\u75ab\u5927\u8ba1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6307\u6458\u522b\u4eba\uff0c\u6487\u6e05\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u59cb\u7ec8\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u300c\u5236\u5f0f\u53cd\u5e94\u300d\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5148\u662f\u5c06\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u5f62\u5bb9\u4e3a\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u4eba\u548c\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\u70ae\u5236\u7684\u300c\u9a97\u5c40\u300d\uff08\u8ddf\u5fb7\u9ed1\u5170\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u300c\u751f\u5316\u6b66\u5668\u8bba\u300d\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4e94\u5341\u6b65\u7b11\u767e\u6b65\uff09\u3002\u518d\u6279\u8bc4\u6b27\u76df\u672a\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u5e94\u5bf9\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u300c\u5916\u6765\u75c5\u6bd2\u300d\u800c\u4e14\u53cd\u5e94\u8fdf\u7f13\uff0c\u73b0\u65f6\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6269\u6563\uff0c\u6b63\u56e0\u6b27\u6d32\u65c5\u5ba2\u628a\u4e2a\u6848\u5e26\u8fdb\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7279\u6c0f\u5ba3\u5e03\u7981\u6b62\u6b27\u6d32\u65c5\u5ba2\u5165\u5883\uff0c\u4e3a\u671f\u4e09\u5341\u5929\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u5f15\u53d1\u6b27\u76df\u6781\u5ea6\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u6012\u6279\u534e\u5e9c\u4e8b\u5148\u672a\u4f5c\u8c18\u8be2\uff0c\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7279\u6c0f\u5728\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\u4e00\u5ea6\u8bef\u79f0\u5c01\u5173\u5305\u62ec\u8d27\u8fd0\uff0c\u4e8b\u5f8c\u624d\u6025\u6025\u900f\u8fc7\u793e\u4ea4\u7f51\u7ad9\u6251\u706b\uff0c\u6307\u6709\u5173\u63aa\u65bd\u4ec5\u9650\u65bc\u4eba\u6d41\uff1b\u81f3\u65bc\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u6c11\u53ef\u83b7\u8c41\u514d\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u5728\u5165\u5883\u524d\u63a5\u53d7\u7b5b\u9009\u68c0\u75ab\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7ec6\u8282\u4e5f\u7531\u5176\u4ed6\u5b98\u5458\u4ee3\u4e3a\u6f84\u6e05\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9488\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u300c\u5c01\u5173\u4ee4\u300d\uff0c\u88ab\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u4e13\u5bb6\u6279\u8bc4\u59d7\u59d7\u6765\u8fdf\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5df2\u9762\u4e34\u793e\u533a\u7206\u53d1\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u8003\u8651\u4e25\u683c\u9650\u5236\u56fd\u5185\u6c11\u4f17\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u4ea4\u6d41\u3002\u5c01\u5173\u5f00\u59cb\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u5927\u7684\u6f0f\u6d1e\u662f\uff1a\u4e3a\u4f55\u82f1\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u300c\u7f51\u5f00\u4e00\u9762\u300d\uff1f\u540e\u6765\u624d\u628a\u82f1\u56fd\u5305\u62ec\u8fdb\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u9ad8\u8c03\u8c08\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\uff0c\u4e0e\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\uff08\u8a00\u5fc5\u79f0\u6b66\u6c49\u75c5\u6bd2\uff09\u9f50\u9f50\u6307\u8d23\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u6b32\u627e\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u7ed3\u8d26\u201d\uff08\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u79f0\u8981\u4e2d\u56fd\u7528\u56fd\u503a\u8d54\u507f\uff0c\u5341\u5206\u9738\u6743\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u6297\u75ab\u7684\u6df7\u4e71\u7529\u6f0f\uff0c\u975e\u6b62\u4e00\u7aef\u3002\u8fd9\u8fb9\u53a2\u7279\u6c0f\u5439\u5618\uff0c\u6cbb\u7597\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u6709\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\u5305\u5e95\uff0c\u90a3\u8fb9\u53a2\u4e1a\u754c\u5373\u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Jennifer 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